
{"id":16883,"date":"2026-10-31T13:10:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-31T07:40:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/?p=16883"},"modified":"2026-10-31T13:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-31T07:44:16","slug":"foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/","title":{"rendered":"Foreign Holdings of India\u2019s Index-Linked Bonds Hit 4-Month Low as Oil and Rate Fears Mount"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"gpi-custom-widget-box\" style=\"border-left-color: #0066cc; background-color: #f0f7ff;\">\n<div class=\"gpi-custom-widget-title\" style=\"color: #0066cc;\">\ud83d\udcdd Quick Summary:<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"gpi-custom-widget-h2-content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Foreign_investors_have_net_sold_about_%E2%82%B9158_billion_of_FAR_bonds_across_September_and_October_taking_holdings_back_to_mid-June_levels_Analysts_still_like_Indias_long-term_story_but_they_expect_near-term_caution_to_continue\"><\/span><strong>Foreign investors have net sold about \u20b9158 billion of FAR bonds across September and October, taking holdings back to mid-June levels. Analysts still like India\u2019s long-term story, but they expect near-term caution to continue.<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Global investors are backing away from Indian government bonds just months after buying them in record volumes, and a policy shift at home is a big reason why. The Reserve Bank of India raised its policy rate this month for the first time in almost four years and hinted at more hikes, prompting overseas investors to reassess how much rupee debt they want to hold. Surging oil prices and firmer US yields have added to the pressure.<\/p><div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#Foreign_investors_have_net_sold_about_%E2%82%B9158_billion_of_FAR_bonds_across_September_and_October_taking_holdings_back_to_mid-June_levels_Analysts_still_like_Indias_long-term_story_but_they_expect_near-term_caution_to_continue\" >Foreign investors have net sold about \u20b9158 billion of FAR bonds across September and October, taking holdings back to mid-June levels. Analysts still like India\u2019s long-term story, but they expect near-term caution to continue.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#FAR_Bond_Outflows_The_Key_Numbers\" >FAR Bond Outflows: The Key Numbers<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#Why_Are_Foreigners_Selling_Indian_Government_Bonds\" >Why Are Foreigners Selling Indian Government Bonds?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#From_Junes_Record_Buying_to_Todays_Retreat\" >From June\u2019s Record Buying to Today\u2019s Retreat<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#What_Analysts_Are_Saying\" >What Analysts Are Saying<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/#Outlook_What_to_Watch_Next\" >Outlook: What to Watch Next<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAR_Bond_Outflows_The_Key_Numbers\"><\/span><strong>FAR Bond Outflows: The Key Numbers<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Foreign investors sold a net 52 billion rupees ($546.3 million) of Fully Accessible Route (FAR) bonds in October, after selling 106 billion rupees in September. FAR securities carry no foreign-investment caps, so investors can enter and exit freely. That makes them a closely watched gauge of overseas appetite for Indian debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"pcrstb-wrap\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Indicator<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Latest reading<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>October net FAR selling<\/td><td>\u20b952 billion<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>September net FAR selling<\/td><td>\u20b9106 billion<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Foreign FAR holdings<\/td><td>\u20b93.57 trillion, lowest since June 17<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Brent crude<\/td><td>Near $115 a barrel, up almost 12% in October<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US 10-year yield<\/td><td>Up over 25 bps in two months<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>India 10-year yield<\/td><td>Up almost 30 bps in October<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Are_Foreigners_Selling_Indian_Government_Bonds\"><\/span><strong>Why Are Foreigners Selling Indian Government Bonds?<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Surging crude:<\/strong> Brent rose more than 14% in September and almost 12% in October. India imports most of its oil, so higher prices push up inflation and weigh on the rupee.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>RBI tightening:<\/strong> The central bank raised its policy rate this month, its first hike in almost four years, and signalled more could follow. Higher rates cut the value of existing bonds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Firmer US yields:<\/strong> Rising Treasury yields narrow the extra return that Indian debt offers.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Weak rupee:<\/strong> The currency has been soft, which erodes dollar returns for foreign holders.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Supply and liquidity:<\/strong> Invesco flagged possible RBI liquidity absorption and additional government-bond supply.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Latest Bond Updates:<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list is-grid columns-3 has-dates wp-block-latest-posts\"><li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/guide\/guaranteed-bonds-in-india\/\" aria-label=\"Guaranteed Bonds in India: How They Work, Key Risks, and What to Check\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Guaranteed Bonds in India\" style=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31143422\/Guaranteed-Bonds-in-India.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/guide\/guaranteed-bonds-in-india\/\">Guaranteed Bonds in India: How They Work, Key Risks, and What to Check<\/a><time datetime=\"2026-10-31T14:35:39+05:30\" class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-date\">October 31, 2026<\/time><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/patna-municipal-bonds-200-crore-issue-and-bihars-market-debut\/\" aria-label=\"Patna Municipal Bonds: \u20b9200 Crore Raise Marks Bihar\u2019s Debut in India\u2019s Civic Debt Market\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Patna Municipal Bonds\" style=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31142355\/Patna-Municipal-Bonds.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/patna-municipal-bonds-200-crore-issue-and-bihars-market-debut\/\">Patna Municipal Bonds: \u20b9200 Crore Raise Marks Bihar\u2019s Debut in India\u2019s Civic Debt Market<\/a><time datetime=\"2026-10-31T14:24:54+05:30\" class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-date\">October 31, 2026<\/time><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/\" aria-label=\"Foreign Holdings of India\u2019s Index-Linked Bonds Hit 4-Month Low as Oil and Rate Fears Mount\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds-1024x576.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Foreign Holdings of India\u2019s Index-Linked Bonds\" style=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/d2zny4996dl67j.cloudfront.net\/blogs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/31131407\/Foreign-Holdings-of-Indias-Index-Linked-Bonds.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/goldenpi.com\/blog\/bond-news\/foreign-holdings-of-indias-index-linked-bonds-hit-4-month-low\/\">Foreign Holdings of India\u2019s Index-Linked Bonds Hit 4-Month Low as Oil and Rate Fears Mount<\/a><time datetime=\"2026-10-31T13:10:45+05:30\" class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-date\">October 31, 2026<\/time><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"From_Junes_Record_Buying_to_Todays_Retreat\"><\/span><strong>From June\u2019s Record Buying to Today\u2019s Retreat<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The current selling reverses a strong run. Foreign investors bought a record amount of Indian debt in June after tax relief and easier investment rules were announced. Hopes of inclusion in Bloomberg\u2019s Global Aggregate Index added to the enthusiasm. By late July, investors were already dumping bonds, rattled by an oil spike and the lack of any index announcement. PIMCO\u2019s Stephen Chang said tax reforms improved the structural outlook for inflows, but much of that optimism is already priced in<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Analysts_Are_Saying\"><\/span><strong>What Analysts Are Saying<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Invesco\u2019s Norbert Ling described the firm\u2019s stance as broadly neutral and cautious in the near term. Even so, investors have not turned bearish on India for the long run. Strong economic growth and better market access keep them constructive, and Invesco would prefer to add duration during externally driven weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Outlook_What_to_Watch_Next\"><\/span><strong>Outlook: What to Watch Next<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether outflows continue will depend largely on oil. A sustained fall from $115 a barrel would ease pressure on inflation and the rupee, while a further climb would do the opposite. The Reserve Bank of India\u2019s next moves matter just as much, particularly the pace and size of any further rate hikes. Investors will also track US Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve\u2019s next steps, since these shape how attractive Indian debt looks against safer alternatives. Two other factors are the volume of new government bonds the market must absorb and any fresh announcement on Indian bonds from global index providers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Until oil and global yields cool, foreign demand for Indian bonds looks likely to stay muted. Longer-term interest depends on the economy\u2019s growth and on continued improvements in market access.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83d\udcdd Quick Summary: Foreign investors have net sold about \u20b9158 billion of FAR bonds across September and October, taking holdings back to&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":16887,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bond-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Foreign Holdings of India\u2019s Index-Linked Bonds Hit 4-Month Low<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Foreign holdings of India\u2019s index-linked bonds fall to a four-month low amid rising oil prices and interest rate concerns. 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