10-Year Bond Yield in India [Updated 2026]

As of January 24, 2026, India’s 10-year government bond yield is about 6.67%. If we compare it with one year earlier, on January 20, 2025, it stood at 6.3338%. This year-over-year increase of about 0.33% shows that the cost for the government to borrow money for the long term has increased over the past year. 

But why? This change could be a result of:

• Stronger economic activity, which reduces the need for low interest rates

and

• A higher issuance of government and state bonds has added supply to the market.

Additionally, it also signals that investors now expect fewer or smaller interest rate cuts ahead in 2026. Want to learn more about India’s 10-year bond yield? Read this article to learn the several reasons behind the increasing 10-year G-sec yield in India.

Why the 10-year G-Sec Yield Has Moved Up?

This 6.67% yield (as of January 24, 2026) is close to its highest level in the last ten months. This shows pressure in the bond market as investors are now expecting more returns. Such investor expectations could be due to:

• Stronger growth 
• Higher inflation
• More bond supply

For more clarity, let’s check out some reasons why the 10-year bond yield is increasing in India:

1. Strong Economic Activity

Recent PMI (Purchasing Manager’s Index) data shows that India’s economy is growing at a strong pace. All the major PMIs remained above the 50 mark:

Okay, but what do these numbers indicate? You may interpret that:

• Factories are producing more
• Service companies are seeing higher demand
• Overall business activity is rising

The primary reason? It is a strong “domestic demand”. Indian consumers are spending, and businesses are investing + hiring. When economic activity improves across sectors, it signals that the economy does not need emergency-level support from low interest rates.

Now, this change in economic conditions directly influences the 10-year government bond yields. How? That’s largely because higher demand can:

• Gradually increase prices
• Such rising prices increase inflation risk
• And, inflation reduces the real return on bonds

Due to this, investors are demanding a higher yield to protect themselves from future loss of purchasing power.

2. Interest Rate Expectations

When the economy is expanding strongly, usually the central bank does not cut rates further. Why? Rate cuts are used to support weak growth. Strong PMI data tells that growth is already stable, so aggressive rate reductions become less likely. 

Now, this again changes the market expectations as follows:

As a result, demand for government bonds weakens unless there is an increase in the 10-year G-sec yield. This is why strong economic data, even though positive for growth, puts upward pressure on G-Sec yields.

3. Expectation of Higher Government Borrowing Ahead

Several analysts and investors expect government borrowing to increase due to the rollout of the proposed 8th Pay Commission. Higher salaries and pensions will raise government spending. 

And how will the government fund this? More G-secs may be issued. 

As a result, investors are now expecting a higher future bond supply. Thus, they are demanding higher yields today to compensate for the increased supply risk.

4. RBI’s Inflation Outlook Has Reduced Rate Cut Hopes

The RBI has projected retail inflation at 4.5% for Q1 FY27, which is above its comfort level. This has reduced expectations of further rate cuts. When investors believe interest rates will remain high for longer, they demand higher yields on long-term bonds. 

This keeps 10-year bond yields elevated even after earlier repo rate cuts.

In Summary, the India 10-Year Bond Yield is 6.67% (As of January 24, 2026)

So now you are aware that the latest India 10-year bond yield is about 6.67%. Around a year earlier, it was 6.3338% (as of January 20, 2025). Thus, yields have increased by roughly 0.35% over the past year. 

This rise shows that long-term borrowing costs have moved higher despite policy rate cuts. Some primary reasons behind the increase in rise in 10-year government bond yields are:

• Strong domestic economic activity
• Higher inflation expectations
• Heavy government and state borrowing
• A greater supply of government bonds

Are you looking to invest in government or AAA-rated corporate bonds? You may visit the GoldenPi platform. Here, you can find multiple bond choices along with important details such as issuer name, credit rating, yields, interest payout frequency, and more. Additionally, you can even apply online to the latest NCD IPOs. 

India 10-Year Bond Yield FAQs

1. What is the highest ever 10-year G-sec yield in India?

Historically, India’s 10-year bond yield reached an all-time high of 14.76% in April 1996.

2. Why are interest rates falling but 10-year bond yields rising in 2026?

Policy rate cuts only influence short-term borrowing rates. Long-term bond yields usually depend on growth outlook, inflation risk, and bond supply. Thus, strong economic growth and high government borrowing can increase G-sec yields, even when the repo rate is reduced.

3. Why does strong economic growth increase 10-year bond yields?

Usually, economic growth increases domestic demand, which raises inflation risk. As a result, investors demand higher returns in this phase to protect their purchasing power. This lowers bond prices and pushes yields higher.

4. How does RBI regulate the supply of government bonds in the market?

To control the rising 10-year bond yields, the RBI may buy central government bonds from the market. This is known as open market operations (OMOs). Such bond purchases reduce supply pressure and support bond prices. Ultimately, this helps in bringing the yields down. 

Citations

1. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield – Quote – Chart – Historical Data – News
2. Why G-Sec Yields Remain High Despite Rate Cuts: An In-Depth Analysis, ETBFSI
3. India 10-Year Bond Historical Data – Investing.com India

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